
Daniel Berehulak / Getty Images file
Chinese newlyweds pose for wedding photographs near to the Thames Town Church in Thames Town on November 19, 2010 in Songjiang, China.
SHANGHAI, China -- It can take two or three hours to drive from bustling Shanghai to the sleepy streets of Thames Town, a new housing development built in the style of an English village complete with quaint pubs, red telephone boxes and statues of Harry Potter and James Bond. There's even an Anglican Church, though not a functioning one.
All that's missing are the people.
Thames Town was completed in 2006, cost a billion dollars to build, and was designed as home for 10,000 people. But shops and restaurants are boarded up, their doors chained.
Thames Town is one of the more bizarre examples of the madness of a construction frenzy and real estate bubble that has left the country with an estimated sixty four million empty homes. It was fuelled by easy money and rapidly rising prices.
Some economists see it as the biggest property bubble of all time - entire ghost cities built on speculation.
China reports slowest growth rate in 3 years
"Empty roads, empty buildings, empty neighborhoods, empty cities - all over China," says Gillem Tulloch, Managing Director of Forensic Asia, who has traced the spread of the ghosts using Google Earth.
When I last visited his Hong Kong office, we sat in front of a big computer screen on which he zoomed in on city after city, row upon row of empty apartment blocks, lining deserted roads. All have what look like government buildings, museums and universities - the amenities of modern cities, but few cars or people to be seen.
By China's own estimate, there are twenty new cities being built each year. One recent housing development was designed to look like a village in Austria.
And it isn't just homes that lie empty: In the southern city of Dongguan, the New South China Mall, once touted as the world's largest, has been ninety nine per cent empty since it opened in in 2005 – although gondolas are still at hand to offer visitors a cruise down its Venetian-style canals.
More recently, property prices have started to fall after the government took belated measures to end speculation. In some places, construction has slowed or ground to a halt. Construction equipment companies are struggling and there are reports of construction workers being laid off.
The problem for the Chinese government is that construction is a major component of GDP. Wasteful and mad though it may seem to outsiders, it has helped pump up growth figures, particularly after the 2008 financial crises, when the Chinese government injected into the economy a stimulus worth nearly US$700 billion. Much of that money went straight to those ghost towns.
Local government has come to rely on rising land prices for its funding, and local authorities have run up huge property-related debts. Nobody quite knows how exposed China's banks might be.
This is the background against which today's GDP figures should be seen. A lot of economists think the figures are pretty dodgy, and don't properly reflect the reality on the ground, but it’s still a significant slowdown by Chinese standards. And it poses a big dilemma for the government.
More savvy ministers know that property represents a dangerous bubble, and wants prices to fall further. They also know that the Chinese economy needs changing - re-balancing in economist-speak - away from wasteful construction projects and exports and today's domestic demand. That will also do a big favor to the world economy.
But with growth dipping below the psychologically important eight per cent level, and the communist party credibility on the line, there'll be a real temptation to open the financial taps again to boost the growth figures. The main impact of that will be to keep Gillen Tulloch busy as he looks at yet more ghost towns, delaying the day of reckoning for China’s economy.
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Well, at least they aren't spending all of that American money on weapons. Thanks again corporate America! You commit treason, make a bunch of $, thousands of Americans loos their jobs, and now China has plenty of disposable income. People should hang for it.
Why don't you blame the American people who demand cheap products?
At the same time, we have enjoyed lower prices for goods, so we have also been on the receiving end, albeit at the cost of some manufacturing jobs.
Economists will tell you that countries should do what they do best due to comparative advantage. If China manufactures things better than the U.S., they should do it and the U.S. should shift to something it does better like R&D. The problem is we ALL can't be in R&D and this is where the whole theory of comparative advantage breaks down.
It surely doesn't look good for the global economy but this is what happens when you run on a debt based society. Interesting times are a coming!
People should hang? Which people? The ones who buy cheap Chinese imports? Manufacturing has moved to China because CONSUMERS demand low prices that can only be offered when labor is cheap.
That makes for an interesting point. What happens when China wants to cash in on their investment in the US?
Tiggle,
The economic philosophpy of advantage never really breaks down. It's more like a wave circling the globe. Advantages change, and the thought is that the develpment of advantages always mean greater properity. You develop advantages in undeveloped areas to fulfill market needs and exploit resources. The misconception is that advantages continually mean higher development, but this is only true if an area can successfully develop an advantage that drive higher economic growth. It is also possible that an area cannot maintain an advantage in one area and must try to develop another area of advantage. The trick is to stay on top of the wave. If you can't you fall to the bottom. For example, if the US woul lose it's technological advantage to say, China, the US would have to try to develop another advantage to employ all of those out a job because of this loss, perhaps manufacturing.
It is big business and the government that drive competitive advantages, most others are merely pawns in the scheme of things.
China's $US700million stimulus injection into their economy is peanuts when compared to America's nearly $3trillion "Stimulus" programs. China has a huge trade surplus and nearly $2trillion of US Treasury it can unload to financial any domestic debt. USA, on the other hand, owes China and Japan nearly $3trillions, not counting other foreign lenders and has a trade deficit of nearly $500million. While China is America's greatest creditor, America is the world's greatest debtor. Uable to pay off its debt despite raising the national debt ceiling for the umpteen times, America borrows from the new creditors to pay off the old creditor. Essentially, America is running the biggest Ponzi Scheme in the world, one that Bernie Maddoff would be proud of. If adjudicated in a World Court, the American government would have been convicted as a criminal.
America's ghost towns are dispersed into millions of empty forclosed homes, while China's are newly constructed subdivisions. Another difference is that America's housing boom was financed with government money borrowed from China and Japan or the Federal Reserve's printing press whereas China's housing boom is financed by trade surplus, a huge domestic savings rate, and government purchases of American Treasury bonds.
America stimulates its economy with war machine production, stock and housing bubbles and massive government spending of borrowed money. As the US ARmy is the employer of last resort, the America Army has been waging 4 wars for nearly 11 years to reduce America's unemployment. Essentially, it is cheaper for the US government to bury America's unemployed than to feed and house them. While China uses its people to build ghost towns, America uses its military machines to create ghost towns in Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan, demolishing buildings and infrastructures, and killing civilians.
While China has steadily moved away from its socialist/communist roots and embrace more of capitalism, the American government has embraced socialism for the past 70 years. The result has been predictable: American business, industry, and manufacturing have abandoned USA for Asia where taxes and government regulation are much lower for both workers and employers. Several hundred years ago, Europeans abandoned their oppressive homeland for the New World in search of wealth, opportunity, and liberty. Today, many American citizens have abandoned USA for in Asia for the same reasons.
In USA too many American workers are jobless or underemployed, and those who have jobs are desperately clinging onto them. As domestic jobs are scarce, rights of workers are at the mercy of employers and government. The rise of American socialism corresponds with the lost of American economic might which translate into the decline of standard of living and wealth for the middleclass. The lost of employment opportunity and wealth will usher in the lost of liberty as America's socialist government attempts to redistribute wealth uniformally through higher taxes and mandatory participation in social programs.
Despite suffering the erosion of their Constitutional rights, purchasing power and job opportunity, the ignorant American people can't admit they have been brainwashed by socialist propaganda issued by their socialist government.
Wow wall...
Could you please use your theories to comment on Germany, Holland, Switzerland and the Scandinavian states?
Given your rant with its dubious analysis of socialism in the US, I would conclude that you are a member of the tea party. Could you please comment on the fact that the red states are the net recipients of federal largesse and the blue states the benefactors of such largesse?
Truth hit you in the face there?
i am an independent conservative, and not a reich winger. what I do detest is the reich wingers who post nothing but trash on these sites. Why don't you guys comment on the FOX site - you can feel at home with your fellow bsers? Right now it seems that the left wingers and the independents are taking the high road with the truth. Bet you are going to vote for Romney.
Nice attention to detail. I believe China's largest stimulus was $586 billion (USD), not $700 million (USD). wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_economic_stimulus_program
Back to the MSNBC article, the question of why China might ever start building these white elephants? their ghost cities? empty and vacant?
google.com/webhp?source=search_app#hl=en&q=China+ghost+cities&fp=1
globalpost.com/dispatches/globalpost-blogs/macro/china-economy-whats-the-big-deal-about-8-percent-gdp
Even Chinese style capitalism is a fraud and shell game. How long must we suffer under this regime. We lambasted socialism for its failures in Russia and Eastern Europe, and yet we excuse capitalism as just some market failure from an ideal system which exists only in economics textbooks and the minds of capitalism's apologists. This is capitalism. Shattered lives, a polluted world, and dead end jobs for the majority of people. A joke, a fraud, and dangerous.
InfoTechnology:
Just because some high level government official set a national growth rate does not mean it is achievable. There's so many factors and variables that can throw-off projected growth rates. Every nation, including USA, set a growth rate; it is the except rather than the rule that they reach them. Prior to dramatic liberalization of its economy during the 80s, China's leaders repeated had their 5 year Great Leap Forward plans going backward.
Warren:
Capitalism rally isn't one of the 'ism.' The early Egyptians, Phoenicians, and Chinese traded in open markets with gold and silver thousands of years before Karl Marx's put a lable on it. It wasn't a sin then and it's not one, today.
@ Real life man-
Because the American people require cheap products. If our standard of living wasn't on the decline people wouldn't be forced to purchase less expensive goods. Treason was committed by the corporate power houses that modernized the factories of these 3rd world nations at an attempt at lowering the cost of production through cheep unprotected labor. That in-turn makes it very hard for a "legitimate US based business" to compete. By American companies modernizing these factories we are basically giving them the ability to mass produce what ever they feel fit. To some extent factories are no different than bombs, tanks, and guns, as you have to have a factory to make all of those goodies. Ask yourself... If we gave them the power to mass produce TVs, cell phones, computers, refrigerators, and what ever else faster, cheaper, and at a comparable quality, why cant they do the same with, Tanks, guns, bombs, and air planes? People forget the only reason we won WWII was our factories. We could build faster than then the enemy could destroy. And now we moved that same industrial beast overseas. Production methods should be protected like military secrets. The traitors who made this possible should hang. Whats the difference if you give them the bomb, or the factory to make it?
@Real life man-
The more i think about your comment, the more I get upset. It's all about corporate profit. CHEAP LABOR! They lower the prices to compete. Then they take over the whole manufacturing complex. The average Americans income fails to keep up with inflation, causing them to shop for cheaper products. Eventually leaving us bankrupt.
Don't be a tool.
Too many Americans are willing to sacrifice quality for quantity. Face it, we're a greedy, gluttonous nation of lazy slobs. Here's a simple concept, quit buying piles of cheap Chinese crap, 3/4 which is not needed, & instead focus on less but superior quality American products. There are Plenty of American made goods & yes they usually cost more, but they exist if you look past frickin' Walmart's garbage heap.
Or, JPinMN, at least they should forfeit all their property and money and it should go into unemployment funds....
No economist or Western statesman should ever accept any sort of figures or statistics from the Chinese government at face value.
Life is adjusted, readjusted and re-negotiated constantly. They will readjust.
And this too shall pass.
Your all missing the point, government money used to stimulatea economy. It doesn't work in China as it didn't work here, the left need's to smell the crap there trying to peddle and realize it just stinks.
It's not that the stimulus in China didn't work, it's that it was poorly used.
Who's to say with certainty, that we wouldn't have a 25% unemployment rate and buying all of our cars from Kia and Hyundia without our use of our stimulus.
When an airplane is going straight down, it does have to level off before it can climb. We are not going down, we are climbing. If you try to climb to fast, like China, you stall.
Kip360-You have to draw your own conclusions but do it on facts. We are not the first generation to live on earth. Thousands upon thousands have come before us and they constantly readjusted. We too, will re-negotiated and readjust to modern ways. :ple seriously 2101, we are climbing.
kip360, I'm no economist but I do know that you can't improve an economy by reducing spending, just as you can't stimulate the economy by enriching corporate coffers while hourly workers don't make enough money to pay their utility and medical bills, much less having any money left to purchase goods.
Capitalism must be a two way street for it to be a viable economic model. It's been a one way street in the U.S. for way too long.
These extreme market undulations are driven by the investor class, or the money for nothin' class as I call them. Fast rising markets spark over investment which leads to over valuation and eventually a crash. This frequently devalues the market even further because all investment stops. These undulations are becoming more and more severe in part due to technology and the ability of more and more people in the world pouring money into investment accounts.
China has invested in new infrastructure and housing, with their own money, not borrowed money...
As their society continues to change from agricultural to manufacturing & service, there has been a massive influx of people to the cities. The resulting over-crowding was the cause of these NEW areas being built, The reason they are empty is the workers wages have not enabled the people to buy the new housing and move out of the slums...
China has passed laws requiring International Businesses to become Unionized. Currently 80% are now members of the State controlled Union and Dec last year, the minimum wage was raised 23%. The Chinese middle class is increasing faster and will soon occupy, these areas. And the over-crowded areas with failing infrastructure will be rebuilt...
As a society evolves; it first builds its economic base, this enables the society to correct its social and later its environmental issues. The UK, USA, and others have gone through this cycle and now China...
My suggestion: China should put more money on weapons and go around the world to yell, "Give me money. Give food" like a robber.
Instead China has invested in other countries infrastructure/schools and is receiving access to their natural/labor resources...
Afghanistan, Africa, Central/South America, Pakistan, and many Asian Countries have seen these investments...
While China is building their Military capabilities, their direct invasions have slowed after Vietnam has kicked their A$$ in both Vietnam and Cambodia. They rely more on ECONOMIC control now...
Though the South China Sea - territorial and access to ENERGY resources, may cause this to change rapidly...
Just goes to show the stupidity of Chinese who think they can just duplicate whatever it is they want. Just as they do with products and processes, these people believe they can live in some sort of fairy land that transports them anywhere in the world. Get real, people. Are they so disenchanted by their own nation that they really want to leave into virtual reality? Glad these projects have managed to eat up so much capital. The Chinese have too much money to use wisely. Instead of improving life for its lower wage citizens, it spends ridiculous sums on fairylands.
I would be less kind than the author of the article. This sort of spending does not contribute to any growth. Joseph Stalin did this sort of thing during the 1930's. Insane rates of economic growth were reported at the time. Decades later, after the Fall of the Soviet Union, the truth came out. The 1930's growth was fueled by enormous waste, low worker productivity, and exaggerated productivity reports. After all of the noise was filtered out, a growth rate of around 2.5% annually was the average during the 1930's. Also, much of what was built was obsolete, poorly made, in some cases unusable. Fortunately, China is not even close to being in that situation, but the ghost cities and infrastructure are reminiscent of Soviet Fantasies from the past.
These cities are based on concrete/steel construction that can last almost a century before rebuilding. Unlike the USA with relies on sticks and glue, most requiring major repairs within a decade...
China's problems are environmental; the south and coastal areas experience MAJOR earthquakes regularly and in the north the Yellow River over-flows its banks about every 50+years. The last natural floods killed hundreds of thousands; 1887- 900+thousand, 1931 - between 1 to 2 million. The intentional flood during the Second Sino-Japanese War(1938) An official Nationalist post-war commission estimated that 800,000 were drowned, which may be an underestimate.[2]..
The ethnic divisions are another problem that are and have been a MAJOR problem for China during their entire 5+thousand year history...
IMO - Preparing the needed infrastructure prior to expanding into the areas, in the long-run is much cheaper, that after-the-fact...
Band condoms breed like rabits fill up houses =coyote
If they have so many empty homes why can't they take the millions of Chinese citizens they moved into Tibet and move them back to China and into these homes?
I have a better idea. Build more of such frontier towns in sparsely populated Tibet and move more millions of Chinese in over crowded cities into these fancy homes? This way Tibetan will have more jobs, more income, less trouble making.
I have an idea... ship all the 30+ million illegal aliens in the US and their anchor baby spawn to China. They could fill the empty cities and then force the Chinese to learn Spanish and give them welfare.
It would be a win-win situation for China and the US... well, more win for us but that's ok :)
And yet lots of Chinese still live in sub-standard housing. Developers would rather let these sit empty than lower the market price. Ah, the wonder of capitalism.
I admire the Chinese ambition with building replica's of Austrian Cities ond other Western Replicas, if you ever tried anything like that here in the States You would never get it through the Government red tape and then Unions would go on strike and someone would sue for stealing their design.. The Chinese Enterprise represents what could be accomplished without Government Interference. Our Government has brought this upon us.
Prop up your GDP and make it look like your kicking ass when in fact your dragging ass. Just like CHINA products. Looks good but lasts only a few days.
If the product label reads- Made in the USA- I buy. If the tag reads Made in CHINA...I simply pass. Unlike some Americans- I don't buy cheap things and don't mind paying more if I know it's a better made product.
It is one of the flaws of capitalism. We can build the housing for the poor, then deprive them of living in it. It is patently absurd that the builders of these places cannot live in them. There needs to be a change, a tweek in capitalism that helps the worker/builder afford what he builds. People all are willing to work and contribute, but for these buildings to lie fallow, is a failure in the economic system, not in the people.
Sounds like another model of government that is imperfect. It's not based on caring. They call capitalism a flaw,
well what about communism? Would you like to be subject to that? Looks like people are unhappy with their styles
of governing and looking for a new way. Everything has been tried. Maybe it's time to look to God's rule.
It sure looks like China was following in America's foot steps. Builders here in America have been doing the same thing for 50 years. The construction industry in America is made up of many mom and dad contruction companies that might know how to build a house but have no idea what is going on in the market. So they..... way over build, file for bankruptcy and start all over again. And, the banks will lend them money..... so everything must be OK.
But if America was to ship all the illegal aliens to China......WHO would do all the dirty jobs here in America.... where you can pay these aliens little or nothing with NO benefits?????????????????......That is the REPUBLICAN WAY. But with the unemployment rising everyday.....you might sooooon be able to get Americans to do the dirty work that the illegal aliens were once doing.
What does a REPUBLICAN CONGRESS .... call this??????????
We should ship all of the republicans and conservatives off to China and force them to work at Foxconn to make the rich republican Apple toys.
Capitalism needs to go the way of the dinosaurs, and take gas powered automobiles with it.
It was bound to happen. Did anybody OVER THERE study the DOWN SIDE of free wheelin' capitalism: corruption, back room deals, homelessness, poverty, over building, unemployment, pollution... I guess not...Well, kick in the next phase: social activisim, environmental laws, labor laws,....UNTIL the next phase..Everyone out from themselves and IF the rich an powerful have an advantage, well they earned it,,,there's winners and losers and that's they way it is...Go to church and maybe you won't WANT to be gay...
...or a democrat